This will be a common reaction for Browns fans in week 2 and beyond. (image from dawgsbynature.com)

This will be a common reaction for Browns fans in week 2 and beyond. (image from dawgsbynature.com)

None of that spread nonsense. You shouldn’t be gambling on football anyway. That stuff is CRAZY RANDOM.

Since Green Bay already played Chicago, I won’t be counting that one. Obviously, I would’ve chosen Green Bay.

Kansas City at Buffalo (Buffalo isn’t as bad as they looked against the Jets, although they’re not great.)

New Orleans at Carolina (Carolina’s defense isn’t ready to deal with the Saints yet.)

Cleveland at Cincinnatti (Brandon Weedon’s debut was one of the most disturbingly horrific rookie QB starts I’ve ever seen.)

Minnesota at Indianapolis (This one’s more of a push, but I think Indy pulls this one off.)

Houston at Jacksonville (Jacksonville can’t compete with a talented Houston squad unless Arian Foster’s leg comes off during a run… and he still might hop to the endzone)

Oakland at Miami (Miami looks disastrous this year, and even if Oakland has to start Rod Streator, an undrafted FA at WR again, they will still win.)

Arizona at New England (Arizona has a chance, but not much of one against one of the scariest offenses in the league.)

Tampa Bay at New York Giants (An angry New York Giants squad is likely to win this tilt at home. I’m still a little surprised TB won in week one.)

Baltimore at Philadelphia (Philly struggled against the Browns last week, and it’s hard to see them beating Baltimore with Maclin and Jackson hurting.)

Dallas at Seattle (Dallas is going to have a hard time traveling to Seattle and playing the traditionally strong at home Seahawks. Especially with the Cowboys’ o-line being a total mess.)

Washington at St. Louis (Should be a close game, but with a talent like RG3 on the Redskins this could easily go their way in a big way.)

New York Jets at Pittsburgh (I have a lot of trouble seeing the Jets take out Pittsburgh at home minus Revis and Keller, but a Pittsburgh team minus Troy Polamalu is a lot easier to beat. If Polamalu doesn’t play they could pull this off.)

Tennessee at San Diego (Not particularly high on either of these teams, but San Diego is more talented and they’re at home.)

Detroit at San Francisco (I hope Harbaugh has a proper victory handshake prepared this time.)

Denver at Atlanta (Even without Roddy White, I think Atlanta has this. I am not sold on the reborn Peyton Manning yet. I need to see him effectively throw the ball downfield some more.)

SURVIVOR POOL PICK OF THE WEEK: Cincinatti (In week one I took Houston over Miami)

In my week one picks I went 12-3. (Giants vs Dallas was not included, as I made my picks after that game was played.)

 
Looks like it's time for another facelift, Jerry.

Looks like it's time for another facelift, Jerry.

It’s a QB driven league nowadays, and that’s partially due to the fact that it has become an increasingly passer friendly league. From the “Ty Law” rule to the limitations on how you can hit a QB, you have to be able to exploit the pass well to win nowadays. There were two notable exceptions in the playoffs last year: The New York Jets and the Bengals. The Jets got by with an incredible defense, while the Bengals got by with a decent defense and a soft schedule. It’s been theorized that you can’t win a Super Bowl with a caretaker QB anymore, like the Ravens did with Trent Dilfer. This could be bad news for the Jets, because Mark Sanchez still is not capable of carrying the Jets.

1. Peyton Manning

2. Tom Brady

3. Aaron Rodgers (This guy does more with less, so I’ve bumped him over several comparable QBs in the playoffs.)

4. Drew Brees (Similar to Manning or Brady with less physical skills, poorer decision making.)

5. Ben Roethlisberger (Makes Steelers’ poor pass protection almost turn into a boon.)

6. Matt Ryan

7. Michael Vick (His athletic ability dynamically changes the Eagles ability to compete.)

8. Joe Flacco (Good QB, but he’s not carrying his team yet.)

9. Jay Cutler (Bigtime skills, bigtime bad decisions.)

10. Matt Hasselbeck (Old, but you saw what he can do against the Saints.)

11. Mark Sanchez (Terrible accuracy and decision making at times, but plays well in crunch time.)

12. Matt Cassel (The most limited QB in playoffs. Doesn’t make mistakes, but unable to carry the team on his back at all.)

I think as things stand 10-12 aren’t going to be able to do enough to take their teams to the Super Bowl, all other things being equal. 7-9 are the next tier up: They have some flaws, but there’s no reason they couldn’t string together 2-3 excellent games. 4-6 aren’t going to do things to sabotage their team most of the time, and may excel in any given game. 1-3 are the elite QBs, the ones that are going to cause all kinds of problems for the opposing team, and are likely to excel unless the opposition out gameplans and outskills their teams.

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